Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 72.692754 81.857691 91.213623 101.446638 112.292701 123.416667 135.658773
2025-11-09 57.627887 70.702754 84.648795 100.497835 117.884685 136.264863 157.053825
2025-11-16 49.072587 64.299674 81.079645 100.669779 122.662029 146.366959 173.636632
2025-11-23 41.759362 58.322492 77.145443 99.661444 125.450505 153.707306 186.669041
2025-11-30 37.184505 54.954252 75.693017 101.006650 130.471794 163.174104 201.731501
2025-12-07 33.528333 52.285483 74.724323 102.613400 135.536984 172.481295 216.433126
2025-12-14 29.132531 48.275884 71.810438 101.631709 137.355613 177.893378 226.556585
2025-12-21 24.889397 44.067597 68.338406 99.706268 137.835032 181.577032 234.543284
2025-12-28 23.577990 43.627266 69.483856 103.320461 144.822169 192.750761 251.088757
2026-01-04 21.719575 42.262805 69.322310 105.218235 149.673080 201.374271 264.648085
2026-01-11 19.112023 39.609054 67.315455 104.668700 151.451827 206.301917 273.846581
2026-01-18 16.819183 37.201827 65.480375 104.210162 153.240648 211.163421 282.903816
2026-01-25 15.069879 35.485550 64.509478 104.832815 156.370835 217.663132 293.958131
2026-02-01 13.025130 33.105224 62.490755 103.992871 157.611406 221.852003 302.259015
2026-02-08 11.492021 31.390870 61.293583 104.145177 160.026734 227.404795 312.134311
2026-02-15 9.797465 29.204452 59.290125 103.121589 160.877943 231.003311 319.637713
2026-02-22 8.885297 28.300156 59.095452 104.491921 164.747270 238.260460 331.502292
2026-03-01 8.118892 27.578917 59.122461 106.129518 168.936800 245.897159 343.817423
2026-03-08 6.838304 25.697720 57.290562 105.129065 169.662014 249.230441 350.920747
2026-03-15 5.515159 23.503425 54.840834 103.166643 169.058872 250.863472 355.922406
2026-03-22 5.381125 23.845002 56.391536 106.850005 175.862359 261.708563 372.110370
2026-03-29 4.941932 23.445364 56.724785 108.783673 180.351430 269.666007 384.790727
2026-04-05 4.128845 22.040087 55.352647 108.223775 181.505628 273.430226 392.345154